Online Prediction on Large Diameter Graphs Mark Herbster, Guy Lever, Massimiliano Pontil University College London ID: M66 Overview: Laplacian min semi-norm interpolant versus "prediction via spine" Laplacian min semi-norm interpolant v1 Prediction via graph's spine 2 1 5 6 3 4 7 8 10 9 v2 vn v3 v4 1 2 6 8 3 4 5 7 10 9 Octopus with "cut size" k = 1 1 octopus : ( n) Mistakes k joined octopi: ( kn) Mistakes Graph is embedded into path graph 1-NN on path is now Bayes optimal n Mistakes O (k log( k ) + k ) n ( kn) O (k log( ) + k ) k Conclusion: Spine is a minimax improvement over semi-norm interpolant