Optimal Response Initiation: Why Recent Experience Matters Matt Jones,* Michael C. Mozer,* Sachiko Kinoshita * University of Colorado Macquarie University #T74 Diffusion Models of Decision Making Evidence 2 1 0 -1 0 50 100 Optimal Inference Depends on Drift Rate ^ µ = .02 Posterior Probability 1 0.5 Drift rate µ (correct resp.) ^ µ = .04 Drift rate 0 (incorrect resp.) 0 0 50 100 0 50 100 Time Estimating µ From Past Experience Sequential Effects of Task Difficulty Response Time ... an-1,bn-1 an,bn ~ N(an,bn) µn-1 Rn-1 En-1 Rn µn En Trial Sequence (Easy, Hard)